Monday, 18 January 2016

{LONGTERMINVESTORS} Godrej Industries - A conglomerate of market leaders

Godrej Industries - Initiating Coverage

Buy: ₹343

Target: ₹442

Godrej Industries Limited (GIL) is one of the holding companies of the 119 year old Godrej group. It holds ~ 23.8% in Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL), ~56.7% in Godrej Properties (GPL), ~60.8% of Godrej Agrovet (GAVL) and 100% of Natures Basket (NBL). It also has its own oleochemical business, manufacturing and marketing over 100 chemicals for use in more than 24 industries. This consumer centric conglomerate has a significant exposure to emerging economies in Asia, Africa and Latin America either directly with its oleochemicals business with exports to over 80 countries or indirectly through its associates and subsidiaries.

Group philosophy, brand moat, execution excellence to support consistent wealth creation

The Godrej group practices the EVA philosophy, entering into those businesses where they believe they can achieve sustainable leading positions. We believe that a robust management, strong brand equity, consistent innovation and execution excellence would help Godrej to consistently create wealth for its stakeholders.

Value unlocking in GAVL to be a potential upside trigger

GAVL is a diversified agri-business with interests in animal feeds, agri-inputs, palm oil, poultry processing and value added foods. It is also looking to step up its expansion efforts with its recent acquisitions of Creamline Dairy and Astec Lifesciences. GAVL's possible listing is expected to unlock value, offering a potential upside trigger.

Exposure to emerging FMCG markets with GCPL stake

GCPL follows a 3x3 strategy of strengthening presence in Asia, Latin America and Africa across hair care, personal wash and home care segments. A deeper focus on premiumisation of product offerings as well as widening its reach in underpenetrated rural markets is expected to help GCPL in continual growth.

Unique business model, brand strength to help GPL sustain growth

With a unique asset light business model, right mix of industry veterans for partners, and strong brand equity, GPL has exhibited resilience in a flat real estate market as seen in its BKC commercial asset deal and sales of 300 flats in a week in Vikhroli.

Company

Valuation

( mn)

GIL Stake

(%)

Holding

Company

Discount

Total

(. mn)

Per share

(.)

GCPL

4,93,773

24%

23%

91,076

271

GPL

69,830

57%

23%

30,685

91

GAVL

46,028

61%

0%

27,985

83

Oleochemicals

8,702

100%

0%

8,702

26

Others (NBL, Creamline, Astec)

5,746

100%

0%

5,746

17

Enterprise Value 

6,24,079

 

 

1,64,194

489

Less: Debt

 

 

-15,567

-46

 Equity Value

 

 

1,48,627

442

 

Please find attached file containing our view on – Godrej Industries

 

LKP Research

13th Floor, Raheja Center, Free Press Road, Nariman Point, Mumbai-400 021.

Email: research@lkpsec.com, Web: www.lkpsec.com

 

 

The information in this documents has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and is for general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company makes no guarantee and assumes no liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.

LKP Securities Ltd., and affiliates, including the analyst who have issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or inconsistent with any recommendation and related information and opinions. LKP Securities Ltd., and affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.

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