Tuesday, 30 August 2016

Re: {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Research Reports extracts & summaries - Thread

 CS ON BHARAT FINANCIAL (SKS): ET NOW

* Maintain underperform, target at `690
* All growth targets retained with long-term outlook of 40-50% growth sustainability
* Disbursements are increasingly non-cash; co piloting biometric KYC for faster turnaround
* Pockets of regulatory slackness in industry on multi-lender norms may be a worry
* Believe valuations at 3.4x FY18E P/B fully capture upside potential for the stock
* While co continues strong growth, cautious view on stock based on valuation concerns

GS ON BHEL (Annual report analysis) : ET NOW
* Maintain sell, target at `115
* Saw continued delays in old receivables; increased provisioning
* Increase in provisioning as core segment continues to struggle
* New products could result in higher revenue from industrial segment in long term
* With limited orders, oversupplied market; expect aggressive bidding to continue
* Believe higher industrial orders unlikely to be sufficient to offset lower power equipment orders

CITI ON CROMPTON GREAVES: ET NOW
* Maintain buy, target at `86
* Impact of one-offs in 1Q16 has reversed leading to +87% YoY growth in power biz
* Overall domestic order inflow increased by 18% during the quarter
* 2QFY17 could be weak due to exceptional events - Torrential rains & fire
* Mgmt highlighted that it is on track to achieve Oct 31, 2016 deal targets for Intl biz sale
* Sense turnaround based on renewed management focus on business
* See likely balance sheet deleveraging from proceeds of sale of intl T&D business

CS ON LIC HOUSING FINANCE: ET NOW
* Maintain outperform, raise target to `640 from `625
* High dependence on bond funding, low spreads make co most sensitive to bond yields
* Margin expansion already playing out and should continue to do so
* Bond funding accounts for 73% of total, ~43% of bond portfolio matures in next 3 years
* Refinancing of matured bonds will automatically lead to further cost reduction 
* Believe such refinance should lead to ~95 bp fall in overall funding costs
* Continue to like LICHF given favourable funding cost outlook
* Continue to like LICHF given potential pay commission related growth upside

DB ON WHIRLPOOL INDIA: ET NOW
* Maintain buy, raise target to `1100 from `1030
* Q1FY17 saw highest ever EBITDA margins of 15% thanks to lower SG&A
* With high valuations (30x FY18E PE), stock reflects good growth potential
* Remain buyers with visible catalysts - Pay Commission payouts in Q2, GST benefits in FY18
* Refrigerators likely to be early beneficiaries of govt's target of 100% electrification

UBS ON ITC: ET NOW
* Maintain buy, raise target to `320 from `280
* Expect cigarette volume growth to drive a stock re-rating
* Believe cigarette volume remains key driver of share price, medium-term earnings visibility
* Believe consumer affordability has improved in FY17, forecast 3-4% cigarette volume growth
* Expect cons staples segment to remain profitable; forecast 150-200bp EBIT margin expansion

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