Wednesday, 27 April 2016

{LONGTERMINVESTORS} Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR): " At an inflection point " (28-Apr-16-EDEL)

 
 

At an inflection point

 

Nifty edged higher in trade yesterday to new 2016 highs and managed to surpass Dec-2015 high of 7980. However the session was rather lackluster as the index vacillated in a narrow 51 points range. Trading volumes clocked at slightly above average levels and the market breadth ended neutral at 1:1 while volatility (India VIX) too was flat at 16.35% ahead of the FOMC and BoJ meeting outcomes. Momentum oscillators continue to retain bullish bias on daily charts whereas the same have turned bullish on hourly scale but are suggesting ominous negative divergence.  Nifty faces strong resistance at the 7980-8000 cluster from the 50% Fibo retracement mark and the Decemebr-2015 swing tops and could perhaps overshoot to the upper Bollinger band of 8060. Only on sustaining above the level can the index stretch the rally stretching up to 8240. Trading support is now pegged at the 21 DEMA of 7767.

 

Trend among sectoral indices was mixed led by gains in Telecom (+2.9%), Oil & Gas (+1.2%) and FMCG (+1%); whereas losses were posted in shares from Banking (-0.87%), Power (-0.5%) and Realty (-0.36%) indexes. Broader market Mid-cap and Small-cap indices traded in line with their frontline peer lodging marginal gain of +0.13% and +0.28% respectively.

 

Bullish Setups: TTAN, AXSB, GNP, NJCC, TELX

Bearish Setups: MRCO, APHS, GDSP, BHIN

 

 

Nifty Index

 

Bloomberg Code

NIFTY Index

Spot Price

7979

Resistance 1

8000

Resistance 2

8050

Support 1

7940

Support 2

7900

Nifty 20 SDMA

7757

Nifty 50 SDMA

7494

Nifty 200 SDMA

7856

Adv : Dec [NSE]

748 : 793

Turnover Rs Crs.

BSE+NSE cash

20,272

 

Oscillators

Comments

RSI

Bullish

MACD

Bullish

Stochastic

Bullish

DMI & ADX

Bullish & Trending

* OB: Over Bought

   OS: Over Sold

 

 

Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR): " At an inflection point " (28-Apr-16-EDEL)

 

 

Regards,

Tejas J. Shah +91 22 4063 5534

tejasj.shah@edelweissfin.com

 

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