Re: {LONGTERMINVESTORS} News & Misc. items - Thread

 On the macro front, Markit Economics said today, 3 August 2016 that Indian service providers enjoyed a welcome upturn in demand during July, with a faster increase in new business underpinning stronger growth of output and boosting confidence. Part of the upswing in incoming new work was supported by price discounts. The seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Services Business Activity Index rose to 51.9 in July, posting above the no-change mark of 50 for the thirteenth month running, highlighting ongoing growth of output in the sector. Up from 50.3 in June, the headline index was at a three-month high and indicative of a modest rate of expansion.

Meanwhile, investors are awaiting the progress on the Goods and Services Tax (GST) constitutional amendment bill in parliament. According to reports, the long-pending GST Bill is listed for consideration and passage in Rajya Sabha today, 3 August 2016 amidst strong indications that the most far-reaching taxation reform would be supported by Congress and all other major political parties. The government is keen to get the GST Bill approved during the Monsoon Session of Parliament ending on 12 August 2016.

The GST bill, which has been approved by the Lok Sabha, is pending in the Rajya Sabha because of opposition to the bill in its current form by the Congress party. A constitutional amendment bill requires at least 50% attendance and support of two-third of those present and voting in the house. For the GST bill to become a law, the bill also needs to be approved by half the state assemblies after its passage in the parliament. GST, touted as the single biggest indirect taxation reforms since independence, will simplify and harmonise the indirect tax regime in the country. The GST seeks to create a seamless national market in the country by replacing plethora of state taxes and central taxes by one tax.

Meanwhile, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said that this year the Southwest monsoon rainfall was 11% below the Long Period Average (LPA) during June, however, July rainfall has been 7% above the LPA. The rainfall data was released yesterday, 2 August 2016. Rainfall over the country as a whole during second half of southwest monsoon season from August to September is most likely to be above normal that is more than 106% of LPA with a probability of 55%. Quantitatively, the rainfall for the country as a whole during second half of the season is likely to be 107% of LPA with a model error of ±8%. The rainfall during August is likely to be 104 ± 9% of LPA as was forecasted in June. The rainfall in monsoon season from June to September over the country as a whole is likely to be 106% ±4% of LPA as was forecasted in June.

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CA. Rajesh Desai

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