Thursday, 4 August 2016

Re: {LONGTERMINVESTORS} Research Reports extracts & summaries - Thread

 

CLSA ON SUN PHARMA: ET NOW
* SPARC's R&D pipeline has strengthened over the last year
* Products in areas that Sun is focusing on with aims to emerge as specialty pharma player
* SPARC expects 2 products licensed to Sun, manufactured at Halol to be launched in medium term
* 2 product launched from Halol suggest confidence in Sun's remedial work
* Recently announced out-licensing deal of novel psoriasis drug in EU is a positive
* Benign competitive environment for gGleevec in US could lift FY17 EPS by 3%
* Sun making gradual progress after tough FY16; USFDA resolution for Halol is key stock driver

IDFC ON JUST DIAL: ET NOW
* Downgrade to underperform; cut target to `430 from `650
* Stock underperformed Mid-Cap Index by ~50% YTD; trend unlikely to reverse in near term
* Underperformance largely led by slower-than-expected ramp up in JD Omni product
* Delayed Search Plus launch, structural pressure in core search biz leading to underperformance
* Addition of feet-on-street, promotional spend should trigger 250-300 bps dip in operating margins
* Believe valuation (~25x FY17E EPS) de-rating will continue over the next 6-9 months

CLSA ON RIL: ET NOW
* Maintain conviction buy, target at `1350
* Jio will need to keep Arpus high to ensure reasonable return on $22bn telecom capex
* Jio will need to attract large subscriber base to ensure reasonable return
* Believe Jio will achieve Arpu balance in its tariff strategy
* Jio will milk large capacity advantage, offer larger data and voice packets at same monthly spend
* Slashing of unit pricing, engaging content apps may be used to entice subscribers to spend more
* Launch of Jio in less than three months will be a key trigger

DB ON JSW STEEL: ET NOW
* Maintain Buy, Target `1976
* Impressive growth in crude steel production with ~19% YoY growth in July'16 to 1.34mt
* Sustained policy support limits downside to domestic steel prices from global steel price weakness
* Supported by re-commissioning of blast furnaces at all 3 key upstream locations
* Conservative estimates factor in ~18% sales growth in FY17, significant scope for upside risk
* Remain positive on both the volume and profitability outlook

NOMURA ON CUMMINS INDIA: ET NOW
* Maintain Reduce, Target `690
* Revenue growth driven by sequential improvement in exports & stable domestic performance
* Operationally in-line but lower other income leads to PAT miss
* Exports falter on unsustainably high base from previous year
* Domestic sales growth stable at +9% YoY, lower than medium term trajectory of mid teens
* Weakening Powergen sales from slowdown in real estate, will lead to muted domestic growth

MACQUARIE ON FORTIS HEALTHCARE: ET NOW
* Maintain outperform, target at `250
* Believe current levels provide attractive entry opportunity with 12-month view
* Believe demerger, separate listing of SRL will help unlock significant value for Fortis shareholders
* Standalone Hospital business is a large part of the current valuation
* Mgmt guiding for strong sequential growth in EBITDA for Hospitals biz going ahead
* Fortis trading at attractive valuations of 11.5x FY18E EV/EBITDA

CS ON ARVIND: ET NOW
* Maintain outperform, target at `380
* Brand performance remains strong; Mgmt expects growth rates to sustain for FY17
* Textile segment stable; Mgmt expects 8-9% growth in textiles for full year
* Recent rise in cotton prices could hurt textile margins in next 2 quarters unless prices correct again
* GST can be a risk in the near term after implementation
* Arvind remains strong brand story medium term; its progress is encouraging

CLSA ON ARVIND: ET NOW
* Maintain buy, revised target at `362 from `366
* Branded apparels biz reported a strong 26% YoY growth with a 4.3% LTL growth
* Mgmt highlighted that 'Unlimited' stores achieved cash break-even with 16% LTL for 1QFY17
* Volume-led growth in woven and garments led to beat in textiles biz revenues
* Arvind is looking to aggressively pare debt through sale of non-core assets
* Co looking for JV opportunities with global companies in technical textiles

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