Wednesday, 2 March 2016

{LONGTERMINVESTORS} Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR): " Breakaway gap " (03-Mar-16-EDEL)

 

Breakaway gap

 

Markets have extended gains following Tuesday's sharp up move with Nifty ending the session up 2.03% at 7368. Following positive global cues and the underlying momentum helped Nifty open with a large bullish gap and continued to build gains thereafter to again close near the highs of the day. Trading volumes continue to remain perky and the market breadth ended 4:1 in favor of advancers. Volatility (India VIX) ends flat at 19% and is now likely to remain in a range of 17-21% in the short-term. MACD momentum oscillator has rolled bullish along with fast stochastic suggesting upside rally is likely to continue, however the hourly readings have reached an overbought state hence there can be consolidation near 7400. Nifty has given a breakaway gap from a 'double bottom' pattern with target in the range of 7550-7600 where the 4-month falling trend line will cap further upside. On the downside, the 21 DEMA and breakout level of 7201 will act as a strong support.

 

Barring a marginal loss of 0.11% in FMCG index, all other sectoral indices ended the day in the green and were led by gains in Realty (+5%), Banking (+4.9%) and IT (+2.5%) indexes. Broader market Mid-cap and Small-cap indices relatively underperformed their frontline peer with gains of +1.9% and +2.2% respectively.

 

Bullish Setups: ICICIBC, HNDL, MSIL, UNSP, ITC, TATA

Bearish Setups: PCJ, LPC, OINL

 

 

Nifty Index

 

Bloomberg Code

NIFTY Index

Spot Price

7368

Resistance 1

7400

Resistance 2

7434

Support 1

7323

Support 2

7275

Nifty 20 SDMA

7170

Nifty 50 SDMA

7434

Nifty 200 SDMA

7957

Adv : Dec [NSE]

1257 : 323

Turnover Rs Crs.

BSE+NSE cash

24,078

 

Oscillators

Comments

RSI

Neutral

MACD

Bullish

Stochastic

Bullish

DMI & ADX

Bearish & Non Trending

* OB: Over Bought

   OS: Over Sold

 

 

Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR): " Breakaway gap " (03-Mar-16-EDEL)

 

 

Regards,

Tejas J. Shah +91 22 4063 5534

tejasj.shah@edelweissfin.com

 

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