Thursday, 3 March 2016

{LONGTERMINVESTORS} Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR): " Resistance at 7535-7575 " (04-Mar-16-EDEL)

 

 

Resistance at 7535-7575

 

Strong underlying momentum continued to pull markets higher for a third session with Nifty gaining 1.45% to scale above 7400 mark. The index opened with yet another bullish gap and managed to hold above 7400 to put up a rally near nearing 7500. Although trading volumes were a tad lower as compared to previous couple of sessions, they are better than the recent average and the market breadth continued to impress with 5:2 in favor of advancers. Volatility (India VIX) has further subsided down to 18% but is likely to remain in a range of 17-21% in the short-term. This week has seen Nifty rally 9.6% off the 52-week lows and typically such moves see roadblocks at 10-12% mark. Momentum has clearly shifted gears in favor of bulls for the short-term with most indicators rolling bullish, albeit the hourly readings that are now into overbought threshold and eventually lead to a period of minor correction / consolidation. Nifty has given a breakaway gap from a 'double bottom' pattern with target in the range of 7550-7600 where the 4-month falling trend line will cap further upside. Following tomorrow's final session of the week, a long-weekend will prompt some trimming of positions in the second half. On the downside, the 21 DEMA at 7226 will act as a strong support.

 

Once again the trend among sectoral indices was largely positive led by gains in Cap Goods (+4.1%), Metals (+4%) and Autos (+2%); whereas the only losing sector of the day was FMCG (-0.2%). Broader market Mid-cap and Small-cap indices continued to underperform their frontline peer with gains of +0.6% and +1.35% respectively.

 

Bullish Setups: LT, HNDL, MSIL, ACEM, BHFC, TATA, HEXW

Bearish Setups: PCJ, LPC, APNT, APHS, BAF

 

 

Nifty Index

 

Bloomberg Code

NIFTY Index

Spot Price

7475

Resistance 1

7512

Resistance 2

7575

Support 1

7420

Support 2

7380

Nifty 20 SDMA

7174

Nifty 50 SDMA

7428

Nifty 200 SDMA

7952

Adv : Dec [NSE]

1089 : 453

Turnover Rs Crs.

BSE+NSE cash

21,595

 

Oscillators

Comments

RSI

Bullish

MACD

Bullish

Stochastic

Bullish (OB)

DMI & ADX

Bullish & Non Trending

* OB: Over Bought

   OS: Over Sold

 

 

Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR): " Resistance at 7535-7575 " (04-Mar-16-EDEL)

 

 

Regards,

Tejas J. Shah +91 22 4063 5534

tejasj.shah@edelweissfin.com

 

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